NY Scratch-Off Delivery Schedule: When Do Stores Get Fresh Tickets?

If you’re serious about scratch-off strategy, you know that fresh packs — newly activated ticket packs with every prize still intact — are the holy grail. But how do you know when your store gets them?

We analyzed 381 days of statewide data across all 11,478 licensed NY lottery retailers to reverse-engineer the scratch-off delivery schedule. The patterns are unmistakable.

11,478
Stores analyzed
381
Days of data
$4.5B
Total activations tracked
Tuesday
#1 delivery day

How We Track Deliveries

The NY Lottery doesn’t publish a delivery schedule. But data.ny.gov publishes daily settlement data for every licensed retailer — including ig_settles, which records when a retailer activates a new pack of scratch-off tickets.

When a store receives a delivery of scratch-offs, they scan and activate the packs at the register. That activation creates a spike in the settlement data. By tracking these spikes over time, we can detect each store’s delivery pattern with high accuracy.

A pack activation (ig_settles) means the store has opened a new pack and made it available for sale. All prizes in that pack are still intact — no tickets have been sold or scratched yet.

Tuesday Is King: The Day-of-Week Breakdown

Across all 11,478 stores and 381 days, here’s how scratch-off activations break down by day of the week:

DayAvg. Daily Activationsvs. AverageShare
Tuesday$15,189,048+27.9%18.1%
Wednesday$12,564,356+5.8%15.0%
Friday$11,940,514+0.5%14.2%
Monday$11,457,385-3.5%13.7%
Thursday$10,984,398-7.5%13.1%
Sunday$10,534,623-11.3%12.6%
Saturday$10,439,570-12.1%12.4%

Tuesday isn’t just slightly ahead — it’s in a different league. The average Tuesday sees $15.2 million in pack activations, nearly $3.3 million more per day than the next-closest day (Wednesday). That’s 28% more tickets hitting store shelves on Tuesdays than any other day of the week.

Wednesday’s elevated numbers (+5.8%) are likely spillover — stores that receive Tuesday-night deliveries and don’t scan the packs until the next morning.

Why Tuesday?

The NY Lottery’s distribution system runs on a weekly cycle centered around Tuesday. Based on the data, the most likely explanation is:

  1. Orders are placed late the prior week (Thursday/Friday) based on each store’s sell-through
  2. Trucks load and dispatch Monday night from lottery distribution centers
  3. Stores receive and activate packs Tuesday, making fresh tickets available for sale
  4. Stragglers scan Wednesday morning, accounting for the Wed bump

The Mon+Tue and Tue+Wed delivery combos make up 30% of all twice-weekly delivery schedules, supporting this Tuesday-centered distribution window.

The First Tuesday of the Month Is Massive

If Tuesday is the biggest day of the week, the first Tuesday of the month is the biggest day of the month. It’s not even close:

Tuesday PositionAvg. Activationsvs. Normal Tuesday
1st Tuesday$19,208,173+26.5%
3rd Tuesday$14,768,888-2.8%
2nd Tuesday$13,414,977-11.7%
4th Tuesday$12,139,679-20.1%
5th Tuesday*$18,406,250+21.2%

*Only 4 months had a 5th Tuesday in our data window. The high average may reflect month-end replenishment overlap.

The first Tuesday averages $19.2 million in activations — 27% more than a normal Tuesday, and 62% more than the overall daily average. This pattern held in 10 out of 13 months we measured.

What’s Driving the First-of-Month Spike?

The lottery appears to operate on a monthly billing and replenishment cycle. New accounting periods start on the 1st, triggering bulk orders from distributors. The first few business days see 11–17% more activations than average across all day-of-month positions. When that cycle lands on Tuesday — the default delivery day — volumes explode.

8 of the Top 10 Days Were First-of-Month Tuesdays

Look at the 10 biggest activation days in the past year:

#DateDayActivations
1April 29, 2025Tue (5th)$24,246,700
2November 4, 2025Tue (1st)$22,680,400
3February 3, 2026Tue (1st)$22,587,300
4July 1, 2025Tue (1st)$22,178,750
5March 4, 2025Tue (1st)$21,841,350
6March 3, 2026Tue (1st)$21,728,550
7April 1, 2025Tue (1st)$21,595,550
8May 28, 2025Wed (4th)$21,508,650
9September 2, 2025Tue (1st)$20,861,700
10June 3, 2025Tue (1st)$20,560,650

Every single day in the top 10 is either a first-of-month Tuesday or a month-end/close-out day. The May 28 Wednesday (#8) fell right after Memorial Day — a delayed activation surge from the Monday holiday.

How Often Does Your Store Get Deliveries?

Not every store gets the same schedule. We analyzed delivery patterns for all 11,478 NY retailers and found five distinct frequency tiers:

Delivery FrequencyStores% of All RetailersTypical Store Type
1x per week3,00526%Small bodegas, rural gas stations
2x per week2,65823%Convenience stores, pharmacies
3x per week1,87916%Mid-volume delis, liquor stores
4x per week2,09218%High-traffic chains, supermarkets
5+ per week1,84416%Casinos, mega-retailers, lottery centers

Almost half of all stores (49%) receive deliveries once or twice a week. The most common twice-weekly combos are:

The Mon+Tue and Tue+Wed combos point to the same delivery window: trucks arrive Monday night or early Tuesday, and stores either scan right away (Tuesday) or the next morning (Wednesday).

Real Store Examples

Here’s what the delivery schedule detection looks like for actual NY retailers, pulled from our live Store Finder:

StorePatternConfidence
Junction Lotto (Queens)Weekly on Tuesdays83%
Wegmans #67 (Upstate)Twice weekly — Tue & Fri73%
Resorts World Casino (Queens)Twice weekly — Tue & Sat71%
7-Eleven #36950AWeekly100%

Every store page on our site now includes a Delivery Schedule panel that shows the detected pattern, a day-of-week breakdown, confidence level, and predicted next delivery dates.

Check Your Store’s Delivery Schedule

Search any zip code to see when your local stores get fresh scratch-off deliveries.

Open Store Finder

What About Holidays? (They Don’t Matter)

This might be the most surprising finding: holidays have almost no effect on scratch-off deliveries. We analyzed every major holiday and the data is clear — the spikes people attribute to holidays are just the Tuesday and monthly cycles doing their thing.

HolidayWeek BeforeDay ItselfWhat’s Really Happening
July 4th+10.3%-1.2%Jul 1 was the 1st Tuesday of July ($22.2M)
Mother’s Day+4.2%-3.5%May 13 (Tue) drove the post-week spike, not Mom
Easter+5.1%-4.0%Apr 15 (Tue) carried the pre-week at $16.3M
Valentine’s Day-9.3%+5.2%No effect at all, both years
Halloween-4.3%-1.9%No effect
Thanksgiving-6.4%-19.8%Worst full-week window of the year
Christmas+2.9%-29.0%Dec 23 & 24 look like pre-stocking, but it’s just normal Tue+Wed
New Year’s+2.8%-17.8%Dec 30 spike ($19.4M) is month-end Tuesday, not NYE

Every “pre-holiday surge” falls on a Tuesday. The July 4th spike? That was July 1 — the first Tuesday of the month. The Mother’s Day bump? May 13, a regular Tuesday. Easter’s pre-week spike? April 15, also a Tuesday. Remove the Tuesday cycle and the holiday effect disappears entirely.

The Only Real Holiday Effect: Monday Closures

The one thing holidays do affect is logistics. When a Monday holiday (Memorial Day, Labor Day) shuts down deliveries, the backed-up orders shift to Tuesday or Wednesday:

And Christmas Day ($8.4M, -29%) and Thanksgiving ($9.5M, -20%) are genuine low points — many stores are closed or running reduced hours, so fewer packs get activated. But that’s about stores being closed, not about demand.

Bottom Line
In the aggregate, scratch-off deliveries don’t respond to holidays — the Tuesday and monthly cycles explain everything. But that’s because convenience stores (5,315 locations, 46% of all retailers) barely move. When you break it down by store type, the picture changes dramatically.

But Wait: It Depends on the Store Type

We broke down holiday activation spikes by all 15 store categories in the NY Lottery system. The results are striking — some store types absolutely surge around holidays, but they’re drowned out by the sheer volume of convenience stores that don’t.

Peak day activation vs. each store type’s own daily average:

Store TypeStoresValentine’sEasterMother’s DayChristmas
Drug Stores759+47%+136%+342%+12%
Bowling Centers93+113%+218%+312%+73%
Check Cashers225+57%+121%+213%+105%
Stationery & Card Shops256+74%+80%+77%+112%
Department Stores110+20%+125%+48%+124%
Liquor Stores751+19%+67%+79%+14%
Supermarkets1,223+15%+58%+53%+28%
Gas Stations278+31%+50%+50%+21%
Grocery Stores828+19%+39%+55%+18%
Convenience Stores5,315+2%+35%+41%+29%

Drug stores spike +342% on Mother’s Day. Bowling alleys hit +312%. Check cashers surge +213%. These are real holiday effects — customers walking in to buy scratch-offs as gifts — but with only 93 bowling alleys and 256 card shops vs. 5,315 convenience stores, they’re invisible in the statewide totals.

The Store Type Pattern

Gift-oriented stores (card shops, drug stores, department stores) spike hardest on Valentine’s, Mother’s Day, and Christmas — the big gift-giving holidays. Entertainment venues (bowling alleys) spike on family-outing holidays. Convenience stores barely notice holidays at all — their pattern is pure Tuesday delivery cycle. If you buy scratch-offs at a drug store or card shop around Mother’s Day, you’re much more likely to find freshly activated packs than at a bodega.

The Monthly Cycle: Days 1–4 Are the Sweet Spot

Beyond the weekly Tuesday rhythm, there’s a strong monthly pulse. The first few days of each month consistently outperform:

Week of MonthAvg. Daily Activationsvs. Average
Week 1 (days 1–7)$12,596,629+6.1%
Week 3 (days 15–21)$11,944,176+0.6%
Week 2 (days 8–14)$11,576,015-2.5%
Week 4 (days 22–28)$11,183,761-5.8%
Week 5 (days 29–31)$12,393,867+4.4%

Days 1–4 individually run 11–17% above average. By contrast, days 22–27 run 5–10% below average. The pattern suggests a monthly replenishment cycle tied to the lottery’s billing periods — distributors restock at the top of each month when new accounting periods begin.

The Week 5 bump (days 29–31) is month-end close-out activity overlapping with early next-month prep — another delivery wave as stores and distributors settle monthly numbers.

Regional Differences

Tuesday is dominant everywhere in the state, but the concentration varies by region:

RegionTuesday ShareSpread
Upstate (Albany)41%Very concentrated
Syracuse/Central37%Concentrated
Westchester/Suburbs32%Moderate
Long Island29%More spread out
NYC (5 boroughs)28%Most spread out

Upstate stores are more locked into a strict Tuesday-only delivery cycle (41% of all activations on Tuesdays). NYC retailers spread deliveries more evenly across the week, likely due to higher volume requiring more frequent restocking and different distributor logistics.

What This Means for Scratch-Off Strategy

If you care about getting fresh packs — and you should, because fresh packs have all prizes intact — the data points to clear buy windows:

The Optimal Buying Windows

  1. First Tuesday of the month — The single biggest delivery day. Walk into your store Tuesday afternoon and ask what just came in.
  2. Any Tuesday — 28% more pack activations than any other day. Fresh inventory is most likely to be on shelves by mid-afternoon.
  3. Wednesday morning — Spillover from Tuesday-night deliveries that haven’t been scanned yet. Some stores activate packs Wednesday morning.
  4. Days 1–4 of any month — Monthly restocking cycle. 11–17% more activations than average.
  5. The Tuesday after a Monday holiday — Catch-up deliveries from the backed-up supply chain. Not a holiday effect — just delayed trucks.

When to Avoid

How to Check Your Store’s Schedule

We built this analysis directly into the site. Here’s how to use it:

  1. Go to the Store Finder and search your zip code
  2. Tap any store to see its detail page
  3. Scroll to the Delivery Schedule panel
  4. You’ll see:
    • The detected delivery pattern (weekly, twice weekly, etc.)
    • Which specific days deliveries typically arrive
    • A confidence score based on 30 days of data
    • Predicted next delivery dates

The system analyzes each store’s activation history to detect patterns automatically. High-confidence stores (70%+) have very predictable schedules. Stores with lower confidence may have irregular restocking or multiple delivery days.

See Any Store’s Delivery Schedule

Every store page now shows predicted delivery days and next expected drop dates.

Find Your Store

Key Takeaways

Related Reading

Data sourced from data.ny.gov. Analysis covers March 2025 through March 2026 (381 days, 11,478 retailers). Delivery patterns are detected algorithmically and may not be 100% accurate for every store. Updated March 18, 2026.

AP
Alex P.
Lead Data Analyst at ScratchOffsNY

Alex builds the Smart Score model and analyzes scratch-off data daily using official NY Lottery prize reports and open data APIs. All rankings are based on math, not gut feeling. Learn about our methodology.